Tomatoes are currently carrying a hefty price tag. In May, tomato prices surged by 45.2 percent compared to the previous year, marking the most significant increase in grocery prices measured by the Consumer Price Index since last May. This surge outpaced the usual suspects like coffee and beef by a wide margin.
Statistics Canada attributes this price hike to supply shortages in Mexico caused by adverse weather conditions and reduced planted acreage following U.S. tariffs implementation. Back in April, U.S. tomato prices spiked by 40 percent, with some attributing it to President Trump’s policies, crop yields, and other related factors.
Despite U.S. tomato prices dropping by 8.5 percent in May, Canada experienced a staggering 32 percent year-over-year increase. The ongoing issues affecting tomato prices in Canada, such as yield challenges in Mexico, tariffs, and transportation expenses, persist according to Michael von Massow, a food agriculture professor at the University of Guelph.
As summer approaches, Canadians typically increase their tomato consumption for salads and barbeque dishes. However, due to the ongoing challenges, von Massow predicts possible shortages of tomatoes in various dishes. Factors such as weather disruptions, tariffs, and increased transportation costs due to conflicts in Iran have contributed to the rising tomato prices.
In April, the average price of fresh tomatoes was $6.18 per kilogram, a $1.49 increase from the previous year. Recent data suggests that the average price in Canadian grocery stores has slightly dropped to $6.61 per kilogram, indicating a potential peak in prices.
To save on grocery bills amid these price fluctuations, von Massow recommends considering seasonal produce options. As Canadian field tomato production is set to begin in the coming weeks, prices are expected to stabilize. In the meantime, opting for seasonal alternatives like asparagus, strawberries, and radishes can help mitigate the impact of rising tomato prices.

